Pi Network Valuation Hypotheses: What’s Realistic?
PI Network’s mainnet launch on Thursday sparked widespread discussion about its valuation. The assumptions range from conservative estimates to highly optimistic predictions.
With recent developments and expert opinions on insights, this article explores four main perspectives on the potential market value of PI Network.
Conservative valuation based on comparable projects
PI network has similarities with similar projects Hamster Kombat (HMSTR). Both hire Click to the Irving Modelattracts millions of users, many users Cryptocurrency newWHO The port wants a lot of financial gains.
However, historical data suggest that such projects may experience substantial price drops. recent, defi Analyst Crypto King warned that PI’s listing price is unlikely to reach $30 to $40 or even $5. Indeed, as Beincrypto reported, Tokens are launched for $2.
“I want to see people win in PI and change lives, but what I can’t tolerate is the fake price. I still remember someone taking a huge loan, buying a car, thinking about the HMSTR they received through Airdrop, and ultimately, finally Disappointed them and sold the car,” Write Analyst.
In addition, analysts say PI network PI coins Before the decline, it will be traded briefly at $1. As of this writing, the PI is selling for $0.668 OKX exchangeNearly 60% of the pace has dropped since Friday’s meeting opened.
Valuation based on basic technology
The architecture of PI network is mainly based on Stellar Blockchainwith minimal modification. Stellar’s local token, XLMwith a full dilution valuation (FDV) of approximately US$17 billion.
By comparison, PI’s FDV is $65 billion, raising questions about its assessment relative to its technological basis.
The difference suggests that the price of PI may be reduced by 70% to be more consistent with the XLM’s FDV. This means that major market corrections may be underway.
Inflation issues and ecosystem development
PI Network White Paper acknowledges continued inflation After the total circular supply reaches 100 billion tokens.
“For the health of the network and ecosystem, the network may face problems such as whether any inflation is required after completing the 100 billion pi issue,” excerpt from the document read.
Furthermore, since utility and demand are key drivers of cryptocurrency valuation, the lack of unsatisfactory applications in the PI ecosystem can adversely affect the value of tokens.
Global consensus value (GCV) assumptions
Some supporters advocate Global consensus value $314,159 (GCV) per PI token in the PI network community. They draw inspiration from the mathematical constant π (approximately 3.14159). Meanwhile, others say PI needs to go through natural price discoveries such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.
“GCV is a vision, not a market price. PI may start with exchange rates and gradually increase with adoption.” A user on X Comment.
This is due to concerns that the current centralized exchange (CEX) PI prices are speculative and potentially manipulated. As analysts predict potential declines after the mainnet launch, some believe that the PI Core team may burn tokens that violate network rules.
“The core team may closely monitor and regulate speculative market operations and may burn (forfeit) any PIs that trade in violation of their terms,” a user on X Explained.
However, this assumption lacks empirical support and is considered too ambitious by many. Overall, the focus is on the nascent state and lack of substantial real-life applications based on the PI network ecosystem.
However, this symbolic valuation has gained attention on social media platforms. Proponents assert that the scarcity and economic potential of PI prove such a price.
At the same time, PI network Mainnet released on February 20, 2025marking a major milestone. As Beincrypto reported, the biggest Encrypted air disk,value $12.6 billion. Despite this achievement, Market indicators reveal weak momentumreflecting the transition from strong buying pressure to more cautious market sentiment.
Intensified the controversy, Bybit Exchange The CEO reiterated his Doubts about PI networks. He mentioned the 2023 warning from Chinese law enforcement, which marked the project as a “pyramid plan” targeting vulnerable people.
“About PI, if you still want to go back to the mainland occasionally, I recommend you not to report or touch it,” Crypto analyst Colin Wu recently warn.
These remarks Mirror Ongoing debates in the cryptocurrency community about the legitimacy and long-term viability of PI.
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