Altcoin Season Remains Elusive as Market Struggles Amid Trump’s Trade Wars
In early 2025, several altcoins soared to new all-time highs. Others climbed the peaks of many months, sweeping the wave of Donald Trump and sweeping the cryptocurrency market.
But Trump’s escalating trade war and wider macroeconomic turmoil have led to a recession in many altcoins, raising questions about the timing of the next alternative season.
Altcoin season slip
Altcoin Season It refers to the market cycle in which crypto assets other than Bitcoin significantly outperform BTC in terms of price increases. During this period, many Altcoins have surged significantly, usually due to increased speculation from investors and capital rotations BTC entry Other crypto assets and bullish sentiment in the market.
This cycle begins when at least 75% of altcoins outweigh BTC in three months. But, this is far from reality. The Altcoin index, which tracks this trend, has fallen to its lowest level since October 2024, indicating that the industry’s weakness continues.
As of this writing, only 24% of the top alternatives outperformed the leading crypto Bitcoin in the past 90 days, highlighting its advantages in the current market cycle. This continued poor performance suggests Altcoin season Probably still far.
This bearish outlook has been further strengthened since the beginning of the year, which tracks the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies that do not include BTC.
This pattern marks a continued downward trend. Its formation is formed as the asset’s price moves between two downwardly sloping parallel trend lines, with highs and lower lows over time. Total 2 was $11.4 trillion at the time of writing, down 17% Since January 1.
This decline confirms the lack of strong bullish momentum across the alternative market, suggesting that there is zero chance that the altcoin season will start soon.
As the market pullback deepens, Bitcoin’s advantage rises
Despite the recent major pullback in the market during Trump’s trade war, Bitcoin’s dominance continues to grow. This is also confirmed by the assessment of Bitcoin Advantage (BTC.D) on the daily chart.
The indicator measures the percentage of the market value of cryptocurrencies owned by Bitcoin and has been on the uptrend line since December. As of this writing, it is at 61.29%.
If BTC’s dominance continues to rise, the prospects may be further delayed Altcoin season.
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